Probabilistische Bewertung der Zuverlässigkeit von Flussdeichen unter hydraulischen und geotechnischen Gesichtspunkten

The deterministic approach for the design of river dikes is explained. The stability proofs are transferred to the probabilistic evaluation concept and the failure scenarios are visualized in the fault tree for river dikes. It is then extended in order to realistically reproduce individual failure processes in the developed framework of the probabilistic model. Overall, the proposed probabilistic model enables for a more realistic and more meaningful assessment of the reliability of river dikes.