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EV market development pathways - An application of System Dynamics for policy simulation

Gomez Vilchez, Jonathan J.; Jochem, Patrick 1; Fichtner, Wolf ORCID iD icon 1
1 Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)


The transport sector, in particular road transport, is a major consumer of energy and a major source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, contributing to climate change. There is increasing pressure to reduce CO2 emissions from passenger cars (e.g. in the EU, the Regulation (EC) No 443/2009 sets the limit of CO2 emissions of new passenger cars to 95 g of CO2 from 2020 [1]). Today, the global vehicle stock has more than 1 billion units and relies almost entirely on oil-based energy. According to various projections, the global vehicle fleet could double or even triple by 2050. The energy and environmental implications of such increase would not be negligible. In this context, it is argued that the electrification of the global vehicle fleet emerges as a desirable goal. Electric vehicles (EVs) are expected to help meet key energy and environmental goals, leading to a decrease in oil imports, an increase in energy independency and to a decrease in CO2 emissions.
This paper focuses on the EV market penetration in key OECD countries as well as in China and India, considering various vehicle technologies for passenger light-duty vehicles (PLDVs). ... mehr

Postprint §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000050063
DOI: 10.1109/EVS.2013.6914829
Zitationen: 6
Zitationen: 6
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Industriebetriebslehre und Industrielle Produktion (IIP)
Karlsruhe Service Research Institute (KSRI)
Publikationstyp Proceedingsbeitrag
Publikationsjahr 2013
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISBN: 978-1-4799-3833-9
KITopen-ID: 1000050063
Erschienen in 27th World Electric Vehicle Symposium and Exhibition (EVS), International Battery, Hybrid and Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Symposium, Barcelona, Spain, 17-20 November 2013. Vol. 2
Verlag Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Seiten 988-996
Schlagwörter electric vehicle market penetration, system dynamics, energy scenarios
Nachgewiesen in Dimensions
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