Weighted aggregation in the domain of crowd-based road condition monitoring

This paper focuses on crowd-based road condition monitoring using smart devices, such as smartphones and evaluates different strategies for aggregating multiple measurements (arithmetic mean and weighted means using R2 and RMSE) for predicting the longitudinal road roughness. The results confirm that aggregating predictions from single drives leads to a higher model performance. This has been expected and confirms the intuition. The overall R2 could be increased from 0.69 to 0.75 on average and the NRMSE could be decreased from 9% to 8% on average. However, contrary to the intuition, the results show that weighted aggregations of single predictions should be avoided, which is consistent with previous findings in other domains, such as financial forecasting.