Assessment of Impacts of Extreme Winter Storms on the Forest Resources in Baden-Württemberg - A Combined Spatial and System Dynamics Approach

This thesis investigates the impacts of an extreme winter storm on the forest resources. At first a GIS based Weight of Evidence (WofE) model is developed to identify the most vulnerable forest areas at a one ha unit area representing the posterior probabilities of damage. It is then integrated into a system dynamics modelling framework to evaluate the economic impacts, under different forest management and salvage operation options. A decision support tool is developed to simulate such impacts.