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Scenario-based earthquake hazard and risk assessment for Baku (Azerbaijan)

Babayev, G.; Ismail-Zadeh, A. ORCID iD icon 1; Le Mouël, J.-L.
1 Geophysikalisches Institut (GPI), Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)

Abstract:

A rapid growth of population, intensive civil and industrial building, land and water instabilities (e.g. landslides, significant underground water level fluctuations), and the lack of public awareness regarding seismic hazard contribute to the increase of vulnerability of Baku (the capital city of the Republic of Azerbaijan) to earthquakes. In this study, we assess an earthquake risk in the city determined as a convolution of seismic hazard (in terms of the surface peak ground acceleration, PGA), vulnerability (due to building construction fragility, population features, the gross domestic product per capita, and landslide’s occurrence), and exposure of infrastructure and critical facilities. The earthquake risk assessment provides useful information to identify the factors influencing the risk. A deterministic seismic hazard for Baku is analysed for four earthquake scenarios: near, far, local, and extreme events. The seismic hazard models demonstrate the level of ground shaking in the city: PGA high values are predicted in the southern coastal and northeastern parts of the city and in some parts of the downtown. The PGA attains its maximal values for the local and extreme earthquake scenarios. ... mehr


Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000063928
Originalveröffentlichung
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-10-2697-2010
Scopus
Zitationen: 36
Web of Science
Zitationen: 30
Dimensions
Zitationen: 42
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Geophysikalisches Institut (GPI)
KIT-Zentrum Klima und Umwelt (ZKU)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsjahr 2010
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 1684-9981, 1561-8633
urn:nbn:de:swb:90-639284
KITopen-ID: 1000063928
Erschienen in Natural hazards and earth system sciences
Verlag European Geosciences Union (EGU)
Band 10
Heft 12
Seiten 2697–2712
Nachgewiesen in Web of Science
Dimensions
Scopus
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