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To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland?

Dunn, Miriam; Rounsevell, Mark D.; Carlsen, Henrik; Dzebo, Adis; Lourenço, Tiago Capela; Hagg, Joseph


We explore the individual and institutional conditions and the climate information used to underpin decision-making for adaptation to high-end climate change (HECC) scenarios in a land resource management context. HECC refers to extreme projections with global annual temperature increases of over 4 °C. We analyse whether HECC scenarios are used in the adaptation decision-making of stakeholders who will tackle the potential problem. We also explore whether the adaptation actions being considered are pertinent only to future climate change or whether other drivers and information types are used in decision-making (including non-climate drivers). We also address the role of knowledge uncertainty in adaptation decision-making. Decision-makers perceive HECC as having a low probability of occurrence and so they do not directly account for HECC within existing actions to address climate change. Such actions focus on incremental rather than transformative solutions in which non-climate drivers are at least as important, and in many cases more important, than climate change alone. This reflects the need to accommodate multiple concerns and low risk options (i.e. ... mehr

Volltext §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000074326
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1881-0
Zitationen: 6
Web of Science
Zitationen: 6
Zitationen: 6
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung – Atmosphärische Umweltforschung (IMK-IFU)
KIT-Zentrum Klima und Umwelt (ZKU)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsjahr 2017
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 0165-0009, 1573-1480
KITopen-ID: 1000074326
HGF-Programm 12.02.02 (POF III, LK 01) Vegetation climate- and land use system
Erschienen in Climatic change
Verlag Springer
Band 141
Heft 2
Seiten 181-195
Nachgewiesen in Scopus
Web of Science
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