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05: Models and predictions: Basic ingredients, dimensionless numbers, predictions versus predictability - and what can go wrong, 10.08.2017

Konrad, Wilfried; KIT | Webcast [Hrsg.]

  • 0:00:00 start
  • 0:02:19 Structure of Talk
  • 0:02:54 Introduction
  • 0:09:08 The purpose of models
  • 0:15:55 Basic ingredients of models
  • 0:19:26 Predictability and determinism
  • 0:22:43 Nonlinear effects (Deterministic chaos)
  • 0:27:46 Verification of models –– ''non–verifiable'' models
  • 0:30:07 Verification of models –– no-analog communities
  • 0:32:19 Computing models –– alternatives to general relativity
  • 0:35:37 Computing models –– heuristic vs. physically based models
  • 0:40:31 Extrapolation of models
  • 0:44:28 Constituents of Climate Models
  • 0:45:27 Climate Models: Basic variables
  • 0:46:41 Climate Models: System of equations
  • 0:47:23 Climate Models: Initial and boundary conditions
  • 0:47:55 Climate Models: Straightforward solutions of the equations
  • 0:51:25 Model zoo: Increasing complexity of models
  • 0:53:18 Climate Models: Practical problems
  • 0:55:52 Forecast: Changing boundary conditions
  • 0:56:54 Forecast: Changing boundary conditions
  • 0:57:56 Summary


Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT KIT-Bibliothek (BIB)
Publikationstyp Audio & Video
Publikationsdatum 30.01.2018
Erstellungsdatum 10.08.2017
DOI 10.5445/DIVA/2018-124
Identifikator KITopen-ID: 1000115339
Serie MICMoR Summer School 2017: Transport Phenomena and the Limits of Life in the Biosphere
Lizenz KITopen-Lizenz
KIT – Die Forschungsuniversität in der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
KITopen Landing Page