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Biogeophysical impacts of forestation in Europe: first results from the LUCAS (Land Use and Climate Across Scales) regional climate model intercomparison

Davin, Edouard L.; Rechid, Diana; Breil, Marcus; Cardoso, Rita M.; Coppola, Erika; Hoffmann, Peter; Jach, Lisa L.; Katragkou, Eleni; de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie; Radtke, Kai; Raffa, Mario; Soares, Pedro M. M.; Sofiadis, Giannis; Strada, Susanna; Strandberg, Gustav; Tölle, Merja H.; Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten; Wulfmeyer, Volker

Abstract (englisch):
The Land Use and Climate Across Scales Flagship Pilot Study (LUCAS FPS) is a coordinated community effort to improve the integration of land use change (LUC) in regional climate models (RCMs) and to quantify the biogeophysical effects of LUC on local to regional climate in Europe. In the first phase of LUCAS, nine RCMs are used to explore the biogeophysical impacts of re-/afforestation over Europe: two idealized experiments representing respectively a non-forested and a maximally forested Europe are compared in order to quantify spatial and temporal variations in the regional climate sensitivity to forestation. We find some robust features in the simulated response to forestation. In particular, all models indicate a year-round decrease in surface albedo, which is most pronounced in winter and spring at high latitudes. This results in a winter warming effect, with values ranging from +0.2 to +1 K on average over Scandinavia depending on models. However, there are also a number of strongly diverging responses. For instance, there is no agreement on the sign of temperature changes in summer with some RCMs predicting a widespread cooling from forestation (well below −2 K in most regions), a widespread warming (around +2 K or above in most regions) or a mixed response. ... mehr

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Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000117415
Veröffentlicht am 26.02.2020
Originalveröffentlichung
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-183-2020
Scopus
Zitationen: 5
Web of Science
Zitationen: 4
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung - Forschungsbereich Troposphäre (IMK-TRO)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsjahr 2020
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 2190-4987
KITopen-ID: 1000117415
HGF-Programm 12.01.02 (POF III, LK 01) Proc.res.f.multisc.predictab.of weather
Erschienen in Earth System Dynamics
Verlag Copernicus Publications
Band 11
Heft 1
Seiten 183–200
Vorab online veröffentlicht am 20.02.2020
Nachgewiesen in Scopus
Web of Science
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