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Synoptic timescale linkage between midlatitude winter troughs Sahara temperature patterns and northern Congo rainfall: A building block of regional climate variability

Ward, Neil; Fink, Andreas H.; Keane, Richard J.; Guichard, Françoise; Marsham, John H.; Parker, Douglas J.; Taylor, Christopher M.


A coherent synoptic sequence, mostly over North Africa, is identified whereby an upper‐level midlatitude trough (in November–March) excites several days of quasi‐stationary near‐surface warming across the Sahara, leading to rainfall events over northern Congo (NC), and perturbed weather more widely. Ahead of NC rainfall events, composite sequences first identify troughs for several days near Iberia, followed by relatively quick transfer to the Central Mediterranean (CMed). Iberia and CMed daily trough‐strength indices reveal that both lead to warming and NC rainfall. Iberia trough linkages develop through West Africa and take longer to reach NC, while CMed linkages reach NC faster (2–3 days), with impact extent focused mostly south and east of CMed. Building up to the rainfall events, initial warming over the central Sahara migrates southeastward close to NC, ultimately with typical magnitude of about 1–2°C at 10–15°N. Such anomalies are statistically predictive for NC daily rainfall and associated nearby atmospheric features: anomalous low‐level southerly wind and increased moisture; anomalous low‐level westerly wind and vertical easterly shear to 600 hPa; increased mid‐level moisture (600 hPa), which along with low‐level moisture, connects northward into midlatitudes. ... mehr

Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000128804
Veröffentlicht am 08.04.2021
DOI: 10.1002/joc.7011
Zitationen: 5
Web of Science
Zitationen: 4
Zitationen: 5
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung Troposphärenforschung (IMKTRO)
KIT-Zentrum Klima und Umwelt (ZKU)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsjahr 2021
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 0899-8418, 1097-0088
KITopen-ID: 1000128804
HGF-Programm 12.11.34 (POF IV, LK 01) Improved predictions from weather to climate scales
Erschienen in International journal of climatology
Verlag John Wiley and Sons
Band 41
Heft 5
Seiten 3153-3173
Vorab online veröffentlicht am 15.02.2021
Nachgewiesen in Scopus
Web of Science
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