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Success Factors in the FIFA 2018 World Cup in Russia and FIFA 2014 World Cup in Brazil

Lepschy, Hannes; Woll, Alexander; Wäsche, Hagen

Abstract (englisch):
Research on success factors in football focusing on national teams is sparse. The current study examines the success factors during the World Cup 2018 in Russia and the World Cup 2014 in Brazil. A total of 128 matches were analyzed using a generalized order logit approach. Twenty-nine variables were identified from previous research. The results showed that defensive errors (p = 0.0220), goal efficiency (p = 0.0000), duel success (p = 0.0000), tackles success (p = 0.0100), shots from counterattacks (p = 0.0460), clearances (p = 0.0130), and crosses (p = 0.0160) have a significant influence on winning a match during those tournaments. Ball possession, distance, and market value of the teams had no influence on success. Overall, most of the critical success factors and those with the highest impact on winning close games were defensive actions. Moreover, the results suggest that direct play and pressing were more effective than ball possession play. The study contributes to a better understanding of success factors and can help to improve effectiveness of training, match preparation, and coaching.

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Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000130422
Veröffentlicht am 10.03.2021
DOI: 10.3389/fpsyg.2021.638690
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Sport und Sportwissenschaft (IfSS)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsjahr 2021
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 1664-1078
KITopen-ID: 1000130422
Erschienen in Frontiers in psychology
Verlag Frontiers Media
Band 12
Vorab online veröffentlicht am 09.03.2021
Schlagwörter match analysis, performance analysis, performance indicators, soccer, sport analytics
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