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Analysis of decadal precipitation changes at the northern edge of the Alps

Emeis, Stefan ORCID iD icon 1
1 Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung (IMK), Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)

Abstract (englisch):

Precipitation data from four weather stations in Bavaria, Germany, situated at the northern edge of the Alps have been evaluated for the period 1901 to 2019. Decadal changes have been computed as sliding 30‑year averages and as the difference between the 30‑year periods 1990–2019 and 1901–1930. The annual precipitation at these four stations increases, fitting in magnitude roughly to the temperature increase in the course of global warming. The number of dry days slightly increases as well as a consequence of a northward shift of the storm tracks over Europe. Due to these two features the precipitation intensity on wet days increases. The increase in maximum daily precipitation amounts is less than the increase in the annual precipitation amount. The observed maximum daily precipitation in the full four datasets is 138.5 mm at the station Hohenpeißenberg in 1999. The length of dry spells is increasing at three of the four stations as well. The overall observed precipitation patterns fit to the findings of regional climate model simulations for future climate scenarios for this region. Thus, they can be interpreted as signs that climate change is well underway in Southern Bavaria as it is in most places of the world.

Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000135510
Veröffentlicht am 19.07.2021
DOI: 10.1127/metz/2021/1053
Zitationen: 3
Zitationen: 2
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung – Atmosphärische Umweltforschung (IMK-IFU)
Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung (IMK)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsmonat/-jahr 07.2021
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 0941-2948
KITopen-ID: 1000135510
HGF-Programm 12.11.11 (POF IV, LK 01) Urban Climate and Air Quality
Erschienen in Meteorologische Zeitschrift
Verlag Borntraeger Science Publishers
Band 30
Heft 3
Seiten 285–293
Projektinformation ReglKlim - KARE (BMBF, 01LR2006D)
Vorab online veröffentlicht am 05.02.2021
Schlagwörter precipitation; statistics; flash floods; data analysis
Nachgewiesen in Dimensions
Web of Science
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