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Potential impacts of institutional dynamics on the development of automated vehicles: Towards sustainable mobility?

Schippl, Jens 1; Truffer, Bernhard; Fleischer, Torsten 1
1 Institut für Technikfolgenabschätzung und Systemanalyse (ITAS), Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)

Abstract:

Most experts agree that automated vehicles (AV) will be commercialized sooner or later and that this will lead to far-reaching changes in the mobility system. However, it is still open whether these developments will lead to more sustainable transport systems. AVs may render private car ownership more attractive and therefore intensify car-oriented mobility patterns, or may increase the attractiveness of public transport when mostly used as robo-taxis. Once development has started to move in a specific direction, self-reinforcing dynamics and path-dependencies may unfold. Therefore, it is important to analyze which factors may influence the direction of path-dependencies. We argue that understanding emerging path-dependencies requires an understanding of the interrelated technical, economic and societal dynamics. We draw on recent insights into societal dynamics in sociotechnical regimes, drawn from sustainability transition research, to identify potential development trajectories of automated driving due to changes in what is conceptualized as normative-cognitive institutions. We introduce an approach to map such institutional dynamics based on recent data from developments in the German mobility sector. ... mehr


Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000144589
Veröffentlicht am 08.04.2022
Originalveröffentlichung
DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2022.100587
Scopus
Zitationen: 13
Dimensions
Zitationen: 15
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Technikfolgenabschätzung und Systemanalyse (ITAS)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsmonat/-jahr 06.2022
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 2590-1982
KITopen-ID: 1000144589
HGF-Programm 46.24.01 (POF IV, LK 01) Applied TA: Digitalizat. & Automat. Socio-Technical Change
Erschienen in Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
Verlag Elsevier
Band 14
Seiten Art.-Nr.: 100587
Bemerkung zur Veröffentlichung Gefördert durch SCOAP3
Schlagwörter Automated vehicles, Sustainable mobility, Transition research, Institutional dynamics
Nachgewiesen in Dimensions
Scopus
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