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Making use of the complementarity of hydropower and variable renewable energy in Latin America: A probabilistic analysis

Gonzalez Salazar, Miguel A.; Poganietz, Witold-Roger ORCID iD icon

Abstract:

Latin America is one of the regions most vulnerable to the effects of climate variability on hydropower generation. Hydropower is the backbone of the Latin-American power system and a key technology for ensuring low-carbon power generation in the region. Despite its importance, our understanding of the impact and likelihood of seasonal variability and of long-term phenomena such as the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on hydropower is limited. There is an essential need to understand how likely these effects are and to identify measures to counterbalance them. A combination of wind, solar, and hydropower offers the potential to mitigate the impact of climate variability on renewable power generation and thus improve its reliability. Here we present a modeling framework to quantify the potential benefits of such combination. The modeling framework relies on a meteorological reanalysis dataset, large-scale renewable power generation models, and statistic models. We consider the countries with the largest hydropower capacity in the region, namely Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, and Venezuela. We examine whether the probability of a production deficit is reduced when all renewable resources are combined compared to a scenario based solely on hydropower, especially during droughts. ... mehr


Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000151427
Veröffentlicht am 25.10.2022
Originalveröffentlichung
DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2022.100972
Scopus
Zitationen: 10
Web of Science
Zitationen: 8
Dimensions
Zitationen: 11
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Technikfolgenabschätzung und Systemanalyse (ITAS)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsjahr 2022
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 2211-467X, 2211-4688
KITopen-ID: 1000151427
HGF-Programm 37.11.02 (POF IV, LK 01) Societally-Feasible Transformation Pathways
Erschienen in Energy strategy reviews
Verlag Elsevier
Band 44
Seiten Art.Nr. 100972
Vorab online veröffentlicht am 06.10.2022
Externe Relationen Siehe auch
Nachgewiesen in Scopus
Web of Science
Dimensions
Globale Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung Ziel 7 – Bezahlbare und saubere Energie
KIT – Die Forschungsuniversität in der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
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