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Essays on Survey Expectations

Pavlova, Lora ORCID iD icon 1
1 Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (ECON), Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)

Abstract (englisch):

In this thesis, I investigate several topics concerning the collection and application of survey expectations data. Conceptually, the thesis consists of three parts: (i) elicitation of consumer expectations in a probabilistic format, (ii) quantifying uncertainty at the individual level and at different horizons, (iii) application of consumer inflation expectations data collected through surveys to answer topical monetary policy questions. While Chapter 2 critically discusses different ways of eliciting probabilistic inflation expectations of consumers, Chapters 3 and 4 tackle the measurement of subjective uncertainty derived from such histograms. Chapter 5 illustrates how data on inflation expectations of consumers elicited in an information-experimental framework can be used to analyze how consumers would react to a hypothetical monetary policy strategy change in the euro area.


Volltext §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000161169
Veröffentlicht am 09.08.2023
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (ECON)
Publikationstyp Hochschulschrift
Publikationsdatum 09.08.2023
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator KITopen-ID: 1000161169
Verlag Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)
Umfang x, 206 S.
Art der Arbeit Dissertation
Fakultät Fakultät für Wirtschaftswissenschaften (WIWI)
Institut Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (ECON)
Prüfungsdatum 25.07.2023
Schlagwörter survey expectations, inflation expectations, uncertainty, monetary policy, central bank communication
Relationen in KITopen
Referent/Betreuer Krüger, Fabian
Conrad, Christian
KIT – Die Forschungsuniversität in der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
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