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A case study of temperature tendency mechanisms operating over northern Africa during and following midlatitude winter troughs

Ward, Neil; Fink, Andreas H. ORCID iD icon 1; Keane, Richard J.; Parker, Douglas J.
1 Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung Troposphärenforschung (IMKTRO), Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)

Abstract:

We investigate temperature tendency mechanisms operating over northern Africa following midlatitude upper-level winter troughs. A case study sequence reveals how Iberia and Central Mediterranean troughs perturb the prevailing cold advection of the Harmattan winds, leading to a several-day warming event over northeastern Africa, especially marked over the eastern Sahel (ESL). Data used includes a reanalysis product that attributes three-hour temperature tendency to specific mechanisms. Focused over Days 3–5 (Day 0 is the strong Iberia trough), ESL experiences strong anomalous low-level warming due to dynamics, attributable to anomalous meridional advection, with partial damping by turbulence, leaving a net low-level tendency of about +1°C/day. However, these tendency features are confined to the lowest layers; by 700 hPa, they are absent. Net tendency behaves differently, and remains positive up to near 650 hPa, where the boundary layer anomalously rises to in the afternoon, allowing turbulence to share some of the anomalous warm advection to these levels. In this winter case study, there is no evidence of any other substantial forcing or feedback (e.g., from atmospheric moisture radiation, surface latent heating, surface solar radiation), therefore we propose that over ESL, the land-surface—boundary-layer system adjusts towards a new equilibrium, driven by the several-day reduced cold advection from near-surface to about 850 hPa. ... mehr


Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000187072
Veröffentlicht am 18.11.2025
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung Troposphärenforschung (IMKTRO)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsjahr 2025
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 0035-9009, 1477-870X
KITopen-ID: 1000187072
HGF-Programm 12.11.34 (POF IV, LK 01) Improved predictions from weather to climate scales
Erschienen in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Verlag John Wiley and Sons
Seiten e70058
Vorab online veröffentlicht am 17.11.2025
Nachgewiesen in OpenAlex
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