A dynamical low-rank multilevel Monte Carlo estimator for high-dimensional kinetic equations

Kinetic equations are used to model a wide range of phenomena important for real-world applications. Their applications span astrophysics, nuclear physics, engineering, and social sciences. Due to their high-dimensional phase space, modelling and quantifying uncertainties, relevant for applications, poses a significant challenge even for modern computing infrastructure. In recent years, dynamical low-rank approximation (DLRA) has gained popularity for making fine grid simulations of high-dimensional problems feasible by evolving the solution of a time-dependent PDE as a low-rank factorization. This reduces the computational and memory requirements significantly.
In this work, we propose a low-rank multilevel Monte Carlo estimator for kinetic equations based on a probabilistic rank-adaptive DLRA time integrator. The level hierarchy of the low-rank multilevel estimator is constructed through spatial refinement and by ensuring that the low-rank error remains below the spatial discretization error. We demonstrate the efficacy of the estimator through several numerical experiments from radiation transport, radiation therapy, and shallow water flow.