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Data-driven prognostic algorithm based on Bi-LSTM transformer model for proton exchange membrane fuel cell

Perez, L. M. ; Kandidayeni, Mohsen; Ravey, Alexandre; Solano, Javier 1; Jemei, Samir; Boulon, Loïc
1 European Institute for Energy Research (EIFER), Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)

Abstract:

The complex interaction of internal physical phenomena makes predicting the degradation of Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells (PEMFCs) under dynamic operating conditions a critical but persistent challenge. To address this, the present work develops a hybrid model based on Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) layers with a multi-head self-attention mechanism to capture degradation dependencies across both short and long time-frames. When benchmarked against state-of-the-art architectures, including attention-based LSTM variants and the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), the model achieves a reduction of up to 52.7% in Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The model’s accuracy is confirmed across single-step, multi-step, and long-term forecasting scenarios, where it consistently maintains high predictive accuracy (R$^2$ ≥ 0.998) for prediction horizons of up to 175 steps ahead. Furthermore, this high performance is achieved with notable data efficiency, requiring a training dataset of 300 h. These combined strengths in accuracy, long-term reliability, and data efficiency make the proposed Bi-LSTM Transformer an effective tool for predictive health management under dynamic load cycles.


Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000197451
Veröffentlicht am 30.09.2026
Originalveröffentlichung
DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2026.126453
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT European Institute for Energy Research (EIFER)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsmonat/-jahr 12.2026
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 0960-1481, 1879-0682
KITopen-ID: 1000197451
Erschienen in Renewable Energy
Verlag Elsevier
Band 277
Seiten Art.Nr: 126453
Vorab online veröffentlicht am 18.09.2026
Externe Relationen Siehe auch
Schlagwörter Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cell; Deep learning prognostics; Time series forecasting; Hybrid neural network architecture; Degradation modelling
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