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Hail potential in Europe based on a regional climate model hindcast

Mohr, S. ORCID iD icon 1; Kunz, M. ORCID iD icon 1; Geyer, B.
1 Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung – Forschungsbereich Troposphäre (IMK-TRO), Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)


comprehensive, reliable, and consistent information about hail frequency and intensity in Europe is not available. To overcome this constraint, we developed a logistic hail model that quantifies the potential of the atmosphere to form hailstorms. The model is based on a combination of appropriate hail-relevant meteorological parameters. This paper presents the application of an adjusted version of the logistic model with the objective being to estimate the hail potential across Europe based on dynamically downscaled National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research1 reanalysis over a long-term period of 60 years (1951–2010). The model output, in terms of the potential hail index (PHI), identified several hot spots that are well known from other observational studies. Time series of the PHI over the 60 year period show a high correlation at different sites across Europe and high annual and multiannual variability, but no overall trend.

Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/110103945
Veröffentlicht am 21.11.2022
DOI: 10.1002/2015GL067118
Zitationen: 26
Web of Science
Zitationen: 24
Zitationen: 30
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung – Forschungsbereich Troposphäre (IMK-TRO)
KIT-Zentrum Klima und Umwelt (ZKU)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsjahr 2015
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 0094-8276, 1944-8007
KITopen-ID: 110103945
HGF-Programm 12.01.02 (POF III, LK 01) Proc.res.f.multisc.predictab.of weather
Erschienen in Geophysical research letters
Verlag John Wiley and Sons
Band 42
Heft 24
Seiten 10904-10912
Vorab online veröffentlicht am 09.12.2015
Nachgewiesen in Web of Science
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