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Remanufacturing capacity planning in new markets—effects of different forecasting assumptions on remanufacturing capacity planning for electric vehicle batteries

Huster, Sandra ORCID iD icon 1; Rosenberg, Sonja ORCID iD icon 1; Glöser-Chahoud, Simon 1; Schultmann, Frank ORCID iD icon 1
1 Institut für Industriebetriebslehre und Industrielle Produktion (IIP), Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)

Abstract:

When planning production or remanufacturing capacity, it is necessary to use forecasts. In the case of production, demand must be forecasted; in the case of remanufacturing, core supply is also uncertain. In the remanufacturing literature, there are different methods to forecast product returns in the long term, mostly material-flow analysis, system dynamics simulation, and discrete-event simulation. All methods require various assumptions to be taken. The effects of the assumptions are rarely studied, although every assumption adds a source of error. In this paper, we examine which assumptions influence long-term forecasts for remanufacturing capacity planning the most. This can help researchers and practitioners to focus on the most influencing factors and neglect those that would only add complexity without adding value. We examine assumptions concerning new product sales, product composition, product lifetime, return rate, and return quality. Our use case are electric vehicle batteries in Germany from 2022 to 2032. We find that, for the examined period, product quality and return rate have the greatest influence on capacity planning. ... mehr


Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000163617
Veröffentlicht am 31.10.2023
Originalveröffentlichung
DOI: 10.1007/s13243-023-00130-3
Scopus
Zitationen: 1
Dimensions
Zitationen: 1
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Industriebetriebslehre und Industrielle Produktion (IIP)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsmonat/-jahr 11.2023
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 2210-464X, 2210-4690
KITopen-ID: 1000163617
Erschienen in Journal of Remanufacturing
Verlag Springer
Band 13
Heft 3
Seiten 283–304
Vorab online veröffentlicht am 06.10.2023
Nachgewiesen in Dimensions
Scopus
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