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Fast and Scalable Population Synthesis Using Equivalence Classes and Hierarchical Distribution

Andre, Robin 1; Tulodetzki, Pia 1; Vortisch, Peter 1
1 Institut für Verkehrswesen (IFV), Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)

Abstract:

Synthetic populations are essential for transportation research, yet full real-world population data are rarely available. Existing approaches, particularly Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) and Iterative Proportional Updating (IPU), struggle with heterogeneous geographic resolutions and large household samples containing redundant information. This paper introduces a new population synthesis algorithm that combines a top-level generation step with an optimized hierarchical allocation process. The method uses equivalence classes to merge content-identical households, reducing computational effort, and reverses the hierarchical IPU work-flow by synthesizing households at the highest geographic level before distributing them downward. Experiments using German census data and the MiD 2017 survey show that equivalence classes reduce IPU runtime by up to a 31-fold factor, with the proposed algorithm achieving an additional 2x–4x speedup with substantially lower memory use. Solution quality, evaluated via mean absolute percentage error across 41 control variables, consistently surpasses hierarchical IPU, especially for small marginal sums.


Verlagsausgabe §
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000194056
Veröffentlicht am 10.06.2026
Originalveröffentlichung
DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2026.04.036
Cover der Publikation
Zugehörige Institution(en) am KIT Institut für Verkehrswesen (IFV)
Publikationstyp Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Publikationsjahr 2026
Sprache Englisch
Identifikator ISSN: 1877-0509
KITopen-ID: 1000194056
Erschienen in Procedia Computer Science
Verlag Elsevier
Band 280
Seiten 269–276
Bemerkung zur Veröffentlichung The 17th International Conference on Ambient Systems, Networks and Technologies (ANT), April 14-16, 2026, Istanbul, Türkiye.
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